Alpha Edge

Tools to beat the S&P 500

Momentum signals, position sizing, sector rotation, tax alpha, and risk management — everything you need to generate excess returns over the index.

Setup: Add assets and planning details for personalized guidance.

Portfolio vs S&P 500

Your Return

+9.8%

S&P 500

+11.7%

Alpha

-1.8%

Trailing the index. Review your underperformers.

Market Regime: Risk Off

Elevated volatility. Reduce position sizes and raise cash.

VIX

26.8

S&P 500

653

Trim overweight positions to raise cash buffer
Focus on low-beta holdings (defense, utilities, bonds)
Pause new buys until VIX retreats below 20

Action Items

urgent

Review risk exposure

Market regime is Risk Off. Ensure position sizes are appropriate for elevated volatility.

soon

Trim VTI from 37.2% to ~20%

At 37.2%, well above 20% target — consider trimming to redeploy

Momentum Board

Relative strength vs S&P 500 today. Outperformers have positive momentum.

vs S&P

+1.1%

+0.3%
vs S&P

-0.1%

-0.8%
vs S&P

-0.1%

-0.8%
vs S&P

-0.7%

-1.4%
vs S&P

-1.3%

-2.1%

Position Sizing

Kelly criterion-based targets. High conviction = larger allocation.

medium
37.2%20.0%
trim
high
14.5%30.0%
add
medium
12.5%20.0%
hold
low
15.2%14.0%
hold
medium
20.5%20.0%
hold

Sector Rotation vs S&P

Your sector bets compared to S&P 500 index weights.

Diversified+35.2pp
You: 37.2%|S&P: 2.0%
Bonds+13.2pp
You: 15.2%|S&P: 2.0%
Industrials+11.5pp
You: 20.5%|S&P: 9.0%
Technology-5.0pp
You: 27.0%|S&P: 32.0%

Tax Alpha Moves

Harvest $1125 loss in BND to offset gains. Long-term loss.

harvest

$281 tax savings at 25% rate

Risk Dashboard

Concentration

5/100

Top Sector

37%

Correlation

Low — good diversification

Est. Max Drawdown

-18%

Edge Insights

Your portfolio trails the S&P by 1.8%. Review underperformers and consider whether your thesis still holds.

Top position is 37% of portfolio. High conviction is fine, but consider if you'd be comfortable losing 30% of that position in a drawdown.

1 position(s) are oversized relative to Kelly criterion targets. Consider trimming to redeploy into underweight names.

1 position(s) have room to add. Use pullbacks as entry points for these high-conviction names.